It's Kentucky Derby Day
May. 5th, 2012 03:31 pmAnd here I am sticking my neck out again on LJ and making wild predictions.
This year my predictions are not quite as wild, because I have been following the racing since November. My favorite horse this year is "I'll Have Another." But I will admit that he's fighting against the synthetic track bias and a #19 post position on the far outside, so he would be a long shot. The other horse I like quite a bit is 2 Year Old Champion, Hansen. This is unusual for me as I'm not generally a fan of the 2 Year Old Champions for 3 Year Old Racing. But Hansen, to my way of thinking, gave a better performance than Bodemeister when clocked over the same distance. The horse that beat Hansen was named Dullahan, and so I must be high on him as well. I do think that Bodemeister and Hansen will hook up for a speed dual on the front. This should set up the race nicely for a come from behind finisher like Dullahan or Alpha.
So, if I was putting money on this race, I would break up a $100 this way...20 dollar exacta box on I'll Have Another and Dullahan and 20 dollars each across the board on I'll Have Another, Dullahan, Alpha and Hansen. I think I will have a winner in that mix. With any luck it will be the Exacta, but with my current record on LJ, it will be Gemologist, Union Rags and Bodemeister in the final stretch run. Or, as my buddy
z3nyatta puts it, bet on whichever horse Calvin Borel is riding. :grin: That would be "Take Charge Indy," and they were mighty impressive wire to wire in the Florida Derby.
UPDATED TO SAY I've folded to peer pressure and will now take the 20 dollars off of Alpha and place it on Gemologist.
This year my predictions are not quite as wild, because I have been following the racing since November. My favorite horse this year is "I'll Have Another." But I will admit that he's fighting against the synthetic track bias and a #19 post position on the far outside, so he would be a long shot. The other horse I like quite a bit is 2 Year Old Champion, Hansen. This is unusual for me as I'm not generally a fan of the 2 Year Old Champions for 3 Year Old Racing. But Hansen, to my way of thinking, gave a better performance than Bodemeister when clocked over the same distance. The horse that beat Hansen was named Dullahan, and so I must be high on him as well. I do think that Bodemeister and Hansen will hook up for a speed dual on the front. This should set up the race nicely for a come from behind finisher like Dullahan or Alpha.
So, if I was putting money on this race, I would break up a $100 this way...20 dollar exacta box on I'll Have Another and Dullahan and 20 dollars each across the board on I'll Have Another, Dullahan, Alpha and Hansen. I think I will have a winner in that mix. With any luck it will be the Exacta, but with my current record on LJ, it will be Gemologist, Union Rags and Bodemeister in the final stretch run. Or, as my buddy
UPDATED TO SAY I've folded to peer pressure and will now take the 20 dollars off of Alpha and place it on Gemologist.